Santos vs Sao Paulo: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 24Kick-off on September 21, 2025 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Urbano Caldeira, Santos, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Santos vs Sao Paulo?
Santos won 1-0 on September 21, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 60′GuilhermeSantos
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santos have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Sao Paulo have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2025 | Atletico-MG(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Fluminense(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Bahia(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Vasco DA Gama(home) | 0-6 | Serie A |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Cruzeiro(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2025 | LDU de Quito(away) | 0-2 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Botafogo(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Cruzeiro(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Atletico-MG(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 20, 2025 | Atletico Nacional(home) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Santos win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Sao Paulo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2025 | Sao Paulo 2-1 Santos | Serie A |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Santos 3-1 Sao Paulo | Paulista - A1 |
| Feb 14, 2024 | Sao Paulo 0-1 Santos | Paulista - A1 |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Santos 0-0 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Jul 16, 2023 | Sao Paulo 4-1 Santos | Serie A |
| Feb 12, 2023 | Sao Paulo 3-1 Santos | Paulista - A1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Santos score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sao Paulo score 1.3 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos | 1.2 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Sao Paulo | 1.3 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Santos sit 14th in Serie A (25 points from 22 matches) and Sao Paulo sit 13th (27 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Sao Paulo | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 26 | 27 |
| 14 | Santos | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 32 | 35 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy