Sao Paulo vs Gremio: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 7Kick-off on May 25, 2014 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (Morumbi), São Paulo, São Paulo
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What was the result of Sao Paulo vs Gremio?
Sao Paulo won 1-0 on May 25, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 61′LucãoSao Paulo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sao Paulo have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Gremio have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2014 | Fluminense(away) | 2-5 | Serie A |
| May 18, 2014 | Flamengo(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| May 11, 2014 | Corinthians(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| May 3, 2014 | Coritiba(home) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Apr 27, 2014 | Cruzeiro(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2014 | Botafogo(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| May 18, 2014 | Fluminense(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| May 11, 2014 | Chapecoense-sc(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| May 3, 2014 | Santos(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Apr 27, 2014 | Atletico-MG(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sao Paulo win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Gremio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2013 | Sao Paulo 0-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Jun 13, 2013 | Gremio 1-1 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Nov 11, 2012 | Gremio 2-1 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Aug 12, 2012 | Sao Paulo 1-2 Gremio | Serie A |
| Sep 11, 2011 | Gremio 1-0 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Jun 11, 2011 | Sao Paulo 3-1 Gremio | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Sao Paulo score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gremio score 0.9 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sao Paulo | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Gremio | 0.9 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sao Paulo sit 13th in Serie A (27 points from 22 matches) and Gremio sit 15th (25 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Sao Paulo | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 26 | 27 |
| 15 | Gremio | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 30 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy