Sao Paulo vs Gremio: result 3-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 32Kick-off on June 6, 2010 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (Morumbi), São Paulo, São Paulo
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What was the result of Sao Paulo vs Gremio?
Sao Paulo won 3-1 on June 6, 2010.
Goalscorers
- 7′Hugo Henrique Assis do NascimentoGremio
- 17′Dagoberto PelentierSao Paulo
- 66′Dagoberto PelentierSao Paulo
- 68′Dagoberto PelentierSao Paulo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Sao Paulo have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Gremio have 2, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 3, 2010 | Goias(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| May 30, 2010 | Guarani Campinas(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| May 26, 2010 | Palmeiras(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| May 23, 2010 | Internacional(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| May 16, 2010 | Botafogo(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 4, 2010 | Atletico-MG(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| May 29, 2010 | Flamengo(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| May 26, 2010 | Avai(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| May 22, 2010 | Palmeiras(away) | 2-4 | Serie A |
| May 16, 2010 | Corinthians(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Sao Paulo score 1.0 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 6; Gremio score 1.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sao Paulo | 1.0 | 0.8 | 3 | 3/6 | 2/6 |
| Gremio | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2 | 4/6 | 4/6 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sao Paulo sit 13th in Serie A (27 points from 23 matches) and Gremio sit 15th (25 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Sao Paulo | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Gremio | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy