Sardor Tursunzoda vs Khatlon: prediction and stats
Vysshaya LigaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on September 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Khatlon the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Sardor Tursunzoda. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sardor Tursunzoda vs Khatlon?
Khatlon starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,457 vs 1,314).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sardor Tursunzoda have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Khatlon have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Khosilot Farkhor(home) | 3-3 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Parvoz(away) | 4-2 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Istiqlol(home) | 0-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Istaravshan(away) | 1-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Regar-TadAZ(home) | 0-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | CSKA Pomir(away) | 1-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Eskhata(home) | 4-2 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Barki Tajik(away) | 2-2 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Ravshan(home) | 0-2 | Vysshaya Liga |
| May 24, 2026 | Khujand(away) | 0-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Sardor Tursunzoda win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Khatlon win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Khatlon 3-1 Sardor Tursunzoda | Vysshaya Liga |
Last archived meeting: Khatlon vs Sardor Tursunzoda on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sardor Tursunzoda score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Khatlon score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sardor Tursunzoda | 1.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Khatlon | 1.4 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sardor Tursunzoda sit 11th in Vysshaya Liga (10 points from 14 matches) and Khatlon sit 8th (18 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Khatlon | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 18 |
| 11 | Sardor Tursunzoda | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sardor Tursunzoda vs Khatlon?
- The Footlab model makes Khatlon the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Sardor Tursunzoda.
- Where and when is Sardor Tursunzoda vs Khatlon played?
- Sardor Tursunzoda vs Khatlon is played on September 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Vysshaya Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.