Khatlon vs Regar-TadAZ: prediction and stats
Vysshaya LigaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Vaxş-Arena, Kurgan-Tyube
The Footlab model makes Regar-TadAZ the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Khatlon. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Khatlon vs Regar-TadAZ?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Khatlon (1,457) and Regar-TadAZ (1,491).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Khatlon have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Regar-TadAZ have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | CSKA Pomir(away) | 1-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Eskhata(home) | 4-2 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Barki Tajik(away) | 2-2 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Ravshan(home) | 0-2 | Vysshaya Liga |
| May 24, 2026 | Khujand(away) | 0-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Parvoz(home) | 3-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Maziya(away) | 3-0 | AFC Challenge League |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Ravshan(away) | 1-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Sardor Tursunzoda(away) | 1-0 | Vysshaya Liga |
| May 16, 2026 | CSKA Pomir(away) | 2-1 | Vysshaya Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Khatlon win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Regar-TadAZ win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Regar-TadAZ 3-2 Khatlon | Vysshaya Liga |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Regar-TadAZ 1-1 Khatlon | Vysshaya Liga |
| Mar 28, 2025 | Khatlon 1-1 Regar-TadAZ | Vysshaya Liga |
| Jun 28, 2024 | Khatlon 1-0 Regar-TadAZ | Vysshaya Liga |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Regar-TadAZ 2-0 Khatlon | Vysshaya Liga |
| Oct 15, 2023 | Khatlon 0-1 Regar-TadAZ | Vysshaya Liga |
Last archived meeting: Regar-TadAZ vs Khatlon on Apr 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Khatlon score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Regar-TadAZ score 1.6 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khatlon | 1.4 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Regar-TadAZ | 1.6 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Khatlon sit 8th in Vysshaya Liga (18 points from 14 matches) and Regar-TadAZ sit 1st (30 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Regar-TadAZ | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 30 |
| 8 | Khatlon | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Khatlon vs Regar-TadAZ?
- The Footlab model makes Regar-TadAZ the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Khatlon.
- Where and when is Khatlon vs Regar-TadAZ played?
- Khatlon vs Regar-TadAZ is played on September 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Vaxş-Arena, in the Vysshaya Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.