Sarıyer vs Bursaspor: prediction and stats
1. LigRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Maltepe Hasan Polat Stadı, İstanbul
The Footlab AI model makes Bursaspor the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Sarıyer. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bursaspor wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,829 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sarıyer vs Bursaspor?
Bursaspor starts as the favourite with a 151-point Elo edge (1,961 vs 1,809).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sarıyer vs Bursaspor
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sarıyer
4-4-2- 90E. Eze
- 17D. Davas
- 10E. Karaca
- 7B. Alici
- 53A. Biyogo Poko
- 28H. Yeşilyurt
- 5E. Korkmazoğlu
- 24K. Arslan
- 88C. Osmanpaşa
- 23Ü. Ergün
- 13I. Šehić
Bursaspor
4-2-3-1- 14K. Ịheanachọ
- 6J. Elitim
- 73A. Boutrah
- 10Lincoln
- 7H. Akbunar
- 42L. Baker
- 5Emirhan Başyiğit
- 4E. Ersoy
- 77R. Berişbek
- 18Z. Yavru
- 98K. Matisli
Computed on October 29, 2026 at 04:13 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sarıyer have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Bursaspor have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | Ayvalikgucu(home) | 1-0 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Fatih Karagümrük(home) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sivasspor(away) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Bodrum FK(home) | 1-4 | 1. Lig |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Ümraniyespor(away) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Keçiörengücü(away) | 4-2 | 1. Lig |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Pendikspor(home) | 2-0 | 1. Lig |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Muğlaspor(away) | 3-0 | 1. Lig |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mardin 1969(home) | 1-2 | 1. Lig |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Batman Petrolspor(away) | 2-1 | 1. Lig |
How many goals should we expect?
Sarıyer score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bursaspor score 2.4 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarıyer | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Bursaspor | 2.4 | 0.8 | 7 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sarıyer sit 11th in 1. Lig (16 points from 12 matches) and Bursaspor sit 1st (28 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bursaspor | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 11 | 28 |
| 11 | Sarıyer | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 16 |
A question about Sarıyer vs Bursaspor?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sarıyer vs Bursaspor?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bursaspor the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Sarıyer.
- Where and when is Sarıyer vs Bursaspor played?
- Sarıyer vs Bursaspor is played on December 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Maltepe Hasan Polat Stadı, in the 1. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.