Lazio vs Atalanta: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Olimpico, Roma
The Footlab AI model makes Lazio the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Atalanta. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lazio wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lazio vs Atalanta?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Lazio (2,051) and Atalanta (2,061).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lazio vs Atalanta
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lazio
4-3-3- 10M. Zaccagni
- 14T. Noslin
- 11G. Isaksen
- 21R. Belahyane
- 24K. Taylor
- 16D. Frattesi
- 15R. Floriani Mussolini
- 25O. Provstgaard
- 5D. Doekhi
- 17Nuno Tavares
- 35C. Mandas
Atalanta
4-3-3- 17C. De Ketelaere
- 11J. Rowe
- 90N. Krstović
- 13Éderson
- 19F. Kessié
- 10L. Samardžić
- 42G. Scalvini
- 16R. Bellanova
- 31T. Kristensen
- 77D. Zappacosta
- 29M. Carnesecchi
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:03 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lazio have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat; Atalanta have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Monza(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Juve Stabia(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Arezzo(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Venezia(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 12, 2026 | AC Milan(home) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Venezia(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Juventus(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cagliari(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 5, 2026 | AS Roma(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Bologna(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Lazio win, 4 draws, 1 Atalanta win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2026 | Atalanta 1-1 Lazio | Coppa Italia |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Lazio 2-2 Atalanta | Coppa Italia |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Lazio 0-2 Atalanta | Serie A |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Atalanta 0-0 Lazio | Serie A |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Atalanta 0-1 Lazio | Serie A |
| Dec 28, 2024 | Lazio 1-1 Atalanta | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Lazio score 2.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Atalanta score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio | 2.5 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Atalanta | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lazio sit 2nd in Serie A (16 points from 6 matches) and Atalanta sit 10th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lazio | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 16 |
| 10 | Atalanta | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 9 |
A question about Lazio vs Atalanta?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lazio vs Atalanta?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lazio the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Atalanta.
- Where and when is Lazio vs Atalanta played?
- Lazio vs Atalanta is played on December 6, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Olimpico, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.