Scarborough Athletic vs Chester: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 25Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Flamingo Land Stadium, Scarborough, North Yorkshire
The Footlab model makes Chester the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Scarborough Athletic. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Scarborough Athletic vs Chester?
A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate Scarborough Athletic (1,834) and Chester (1,926).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Scarborough Athletic have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Chester have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chorley(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Spennymoor Town(home) | 3-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hednesford Town(away) | 4-3 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | South Shields(home) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Harrogate Town(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Spalding United(home) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Darlington 1883(away) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(home) | 2-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chorley(away) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Crewe(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Scarborough Athletic win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Chester win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | Scarborough Athletic 1-0 Chester | National League - North |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Chester 1-1 Scarborough Athletic | National League - North |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Scarborough Athletic 2-4 Chester | National League - North |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Scarborough Athletic 3-1 Chester | FA Cup |
| Aug 26, 2024 | Chester 3-2 Scarborough Athletic | National League - North |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Chester 3-0 Scarborough Athletic | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Scarborough Athletic vs Chester on Jan 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Scarborough Athletic score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Chester score 1.3 and concede 0.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scarborough Athletic | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Chester | 1.3 | 0.3 | 11 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Scarborough Athletic sit 8th in National League - North (6 points from 4 matches) and Chester sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chester | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Scarborough Athletic | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Scarborough Athletic vs Chester?
- The Footlab model makes Chester the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Scarborough Athletic.
- Where and when is Scarborough Athletic vs Chester played?
- Scarborough Athletic vs Chester is played on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Flamingo Land Stadium, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.