Schonnebeck vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II: prediction and stats
Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 8Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sportanlage Schetters Busch, Essen
The Footlab model makes Schonnebeck the favourite at 53%, against 21% for a draw and 25% for Fortuna Düsseldorf II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Schonnebeck vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Schonnebeck (1,941) and Fortuna Düsseldorf II (1,873).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Schonnebeck have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Fortuna Düsseldorf II have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Wuppertaler SV(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Germania Ratingen(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Westfalia Rhynern(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Holzheimer SG(away) | 4-3 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 30, 2026 | Homberg(home) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Meerbusch(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Jul 31, 2026 | TSV Steinbach(home) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Homberg(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 15, 2026 | SC St. Tönis(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Bochum II(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - West |
How many goals should we expect?
Schonnebeck score 3.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Fortuna Düsseldorf II score 1.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Schonnebeck | 3.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Fortuna Düsseldorf II | 1.8 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Schonnebeck sit 4th in Oberliga - Niederrhein (4 points from 2 matches) and Fortuna Düsseldorf II sit 7th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Schonnebeck | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 7 | Fortuna Düsseldorf II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Schonnebeck vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II?
- The Footlab model makes Schonnebeck the favourite at 53%, against 21% for a draw and 25% for Fortuna Düsseldorf II.
- Where and when is Schonnebeck vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II played?
- Schonnebeck vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II is played on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sportanlage Schetters Busch, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.