Germania Ratingen vs Scherpenberg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 8Kick-off on October 2, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Ratingen, Ratingen
The Footlab model makes Germania Ratingen the favourite at 55%, against 20% for a draw and 25% for Scherpenberg. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Germania Ratingen vs Scherpenberg?
Germania Ratingen starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,874 vs 1,759).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Germania Ratingen have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Scherpenberg have 1, 3 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Büderich(home) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Schonnebeck(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Jul 26, 2026 | SG Wattenscheid 09(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Monheim(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Union Frintrop(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sonsbeck(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 14, 2026 | SW Essen(home) | 5-3 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Mar 12, 2024 | Sonsbeck(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2020 | Sterkrade-Nord(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Germania Ratingen score 2.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Scherpenberg score 2.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germania Ratingen | 2.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Scherpenberg | 2.3 | 1.8 | 0 | 4/4 | 2/4 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Germania Ratingen sit 12th in Oberliga - Niederrhein (2 points from 2 matches) and Scherpenberg sit 2nd (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Scherpenberg | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| 12 | Germania Ratingen | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Germania Ratingen vs Scherpenberg?
- The Footlab model makes Germania Ratingen the favourite at 55%, against 20% for a draw and 25% for Scherpenberg.
- Where and when is Germania Ratingen vs Scherpenberg played?
- Germania Ratingen vs Scherpenberg is played on October 2, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion Ratingen, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.