KFC Uerdingen 05 vs SSVg Velbert: prediction and stats
Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 8Kick-off on October 2, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Grotenburg-Stadion, Krefeld
The Footlab model makes KFC Uerdingen 05 the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for SSVg Velbert. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win KFC Uerdingen 05 vs SSVg Velbert?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate KFC Uerdingen 05 (1,879) and SSVg Velbert (1,812).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, KFC Uerdingen 05 have 11 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; SSVg Velbert have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Holzheimer SG(away) | 5-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Bonner SC(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 29, 2026 | Meerbusch(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Kleve(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SW Essen(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Wuppertaler SV(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach(home) | 0-8 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Sportfreunde Siegen(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| May 8, 2026 | Paderborn II(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - West |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 KFC Uerdingen 05 win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 SSVg Velbert win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2023 | SSVg Velbert 0-1 KFC Uerdingen 05 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Sep 24, 2022 | KFC Uerdingen 05 3-1 SSVg Velbert | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
Last archived meeting: SSVg Velbert vs KFC Uerdingen 05 on Mar 26, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
KFC Uerdingen 05 score 2.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; SSVg Velbert score 1.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KFC Uerdingen 05 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| SSVg Velbert | 1.3 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
KFC Uerdingen 05 sit 3rd in Oberliga - Niederrhein (3 points from 1 matches) and SSVg Velbert sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SSVg Velbert | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | KFC Uerdingen 05 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for KFC Uerdingen 05 vs SSVg Velbert?
- The Footlab model makes KFC Uerdingen 05 the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for SSVg Velbert.
- Where and when is KFC Uerdingen 05 vs SSVg Velbert played?
- KFC Uerdingen 05 vs SSVg Velbert is played on October 2, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Grotenburg-Stadion, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.