BW Dingden vs SC St. Tönis: prediction and stats
Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 8Kick-off on October 2, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes BW Dingden the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for SC St. Tönis. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win BW Dingden vs SC St. Tönis?
A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate BW Dingden (1,749) and SC St. Tönis (1,834).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BW Dingden have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; SC St. Tönis have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Monheim(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Union Frintrop(away) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Holzheimer SG(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Homberg(away) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt(home) | 0-11 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Solingen-Wald(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Fortuna Düsseldorf II(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Fortuna Düsseldorf(home) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Hilden(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 BW Dingden win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 SC St. Tönis win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | SC St. Tönis 2-2 BW Dingden | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Sep 7, 2025 | BW Dingden 3-1 SC St. Tönis | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
Last archived meeting: SC St. Tönis vs BW Dingden on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
BW Dingden score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; SC St. Tönis score 1.9 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BW Dingden | 1.4 | 1.3 | 7 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| SC St. Tönis | 1.9 | 2.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
BW Dingden sit 4th in Oberliga - Niederrhein (3 points from 1 matches) and SC St. Tönis sit 7th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | BW Dingden | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | SC St. Tönis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for BW Dingden vs SC St. Tönis?
- The Footlab model makes BW Dingden the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for SC St. Tönis.
- Where and when is BW Dingden vs SC St. Tönis played?
- BW Dingden vs SC St. Tönis is played on October 2, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC), in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 2, 2026Wuppertaler SVvsSF Baumberg
- Oct 2, 2026KFC Uerdingen 05vsSSVg Velbert
- Oct 2, 2026Germania RatingenvsScherpenberg
- Oct 4, 2026SchonnebeckvsFortuna Düsseldorf II
- Oct 4, 2026MonheimvsSW Essen
- Oct 4, 2026Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.vsSonsbeck
- Oct 4, 2026Solingen-WaldvsMeerbusch
- Oct 4, 2026BüderichvsHolzheimer SG