Seravezza vs Mezzolara: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Buon Riposo, Pozzi Seravezza
The Footlab model makes Seravezza the favourite at 59%, against 25% for a draw and 16% for Mezzolara. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Seravezza vs Mezzolara?
Seravezza starts as the favourite with a 218-point Elo edge (1,779 vs 1,562).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Seravezza have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Mezzolara have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Pistoiese(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Prato(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| May 10, 2026 | Tau Altopascio(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| May 3, 2026 | San Donato Tavarnelle(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Foligno Calcio(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2024 | Progresso(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Forli(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Sammaurese(home) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Aglianese(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Sangiuliano City(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Seravezza win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Mezzolara win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2022 | Mezzolara 0-0 Seravezza | Serie D - Girone D |
| Nov 14, 2021 | Seravezza 1-1 Mezzolara | Serie D - Girone D |
Last archived meeting: Mezzolara vs Seravezza on Mar 30, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Seravezza score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Mezzolara score 0.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seravezza | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Mezzolara | 0.8 | 1.5 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Seravezza | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 42 | 29 | 57 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Seravezza vs Mezzolara?
- The Footlab model makes Seravezza the favourite at 59%, against 25% for a draw and 16% for Mezzolara.
- Where and when is Seravezza vs Mezzolara played?
- Seravezza vs Mezzolara is played on November 22, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Buon Riposo, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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