Match

Lucchese vs Flaminia: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Porta Elisa, Lucca

LuccheseFlaminia

The Footlab model makes Lucchese the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Flaminia. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lucchese vs Flaminia?

A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Lucchese (1,736) and Flaminia (1,756).

Lucchese win39 %
Draw29 %
Flaminia win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lucchese have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Flaminia have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lucchese
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 17, 2025Sestri Levante(home)1-0Serie C - Relegation - Play-offs
May 10, 2025Sestri Levante(away)1-2Serie C - Relegation - Play-offs
Apr 27, 2025Torres(home)3-2Serie C - Girone B
Apr 23, 2025Arezzo(away)1-4Serie C - Girone B
Apr 13, 2025Vis Pesaro(home)1-0Serie C - Girone B
Flaminia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 26, 2026Lazio(away)0-6Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026Monastir(away)3-3Serie D - Girone G
May 3, 2026Montespaccato(away)4-2Serie D - Girone G
Apr 26, 2026Budoni(home)0-1Serie D - Girone G
Apr 19, 2026Nocerina(away)1-1Serie D - Girone G

How many goals should we expect?

Lucchese score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Flaminia score 1.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Lucchese1.71.6411/159/15
Flaminia1.61.449/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lucchese vs Flaminia?
The Footlab model makes Lucchese the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Flaminia.
Where and when is Lucchese vs Flaminia played?
Lucchese vs Flaminia is played on November 22, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Porta Elisa, in the Serie D - Girone E.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Lucchese and Flaminia

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