Sevastopol vs Pobeda: result 2-1 and analysis
Second League - Group 1Promotion Round - Group 1 - 1Kick-off on September 20, 2025 at 02:00 PM (UTC)SK Sevastopol', Sevastopol'
Full time
What was the result of Sevastopol vs Pobeda?
Sevastopol won 2-1 on September 20, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 2′Bekkhan AlievSevastopol
- 36′552909Pobeda
- 83′Vadim ZubavlenkoSevastopol
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sevastopol have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Pobeda have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2025 | Pobeda(home) | 0-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Dynamo Makhachkala II(away) | 4-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Dinamo Stavropol(home) | 1-2 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Rostov II(away) | 0-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Rubin Yalta(home) | 2-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2025 | Sevastopol(away) | 0-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Druzhba(away) | 2-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Nart Cherkessk(away) | 0-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Kuban Kholding(away) | 0-2 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 20, 2025 | Astrakhan(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Sevastopol win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Pobeda win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2025 | Sevastopol 0-0 Pobeda | Second League - Group 1 |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Pobeda 1-2 Sevastopol | Second League - Group 1 |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Sevastopol 2-0 Pobeda | Second League - Group 1 |
| Apr 24, 2024 | Pobeda 0-0 Sevastopol | Second League - Group 1 |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Sevastopol 0-0 Pobeda | Second League - Group 1 |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Pobeda 1-3 Sevastopol | Second League - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Sevastopol score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Pobeda score 1.0 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevastopol | 1.6 | 0.9 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Pobeda | 1.0 | 0.8 | 6 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sevastopol sit 2nd in Second League - Group 1 (45 points from 20 matches) and Pobeda sit 6th (30 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Sevastopol | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 37 | 18 | 45 |
| 6 | Pobeda | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 36 | 22 | 30 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy