Sevastopol vs Izberbash: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 1Group 1 - 28Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)SK Sevastopol', Sevastopol'
The Footlab AI model makes Sevastopol the favourite at 92%, against 6% for a draw and 2% for Izberbash. The most likely score is 3-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sevastopol vs Izberbash?
Sevastopol is a heavy favourite: 1,907 Elo points against 1,548, a 360-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sevastopol vs Izberbash
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sevastopol
Not enough data to predict the Sevastopol lineup.
Izberbash
Not enough data to predict the Izberbash lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:15 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sevastopol have 13 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Izberbash have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Dynamo Makhachkala II(away) | 6-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Lugansk(home) | 2-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Rostov II(away) | 1-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Rubin Yalta(home) | 3-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Kyzyltash(home) | 2-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Druzhba(away) | 0-4 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Nart Cherkessk(home) | 1-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Astrakhan(home) | 0-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Dynamo Makhachkala II(away) | 1-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Pobeda(home) | 1-2 | Second League - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Sevastopol win, 0 draws, 0 Izberbash wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Izberbash 0-3 Sevastopol | Second League - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Izberbash vs Sevastopol on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sevastopol score 2.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Izberbash score 1.0 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevastopol | 2.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Izberbash | 1.0 | 2.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sevastopol sit 1st in Second League - Group 1 (50 points from 21 matches) and Izberbash sit 12th (18 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sevastopol | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 50 |
| 12 | Izberbash | 21 | 6 | 0 | 15 | 19 | 57 | 18 |
A question about Sevastopol vs Izberbash?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sevastopol vs Izberbash?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sevastopol the favourite at 92%, against 6% for a draw and 2% for Izberbash.
- Where and when is Sevastopol vs Izberbash played?
- Sevastopol vs Izberbash is played on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at SK Sevastopol', in the Second League - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.