Sevastopol vs Izberbash: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 1Group 1 - 28Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)SK Sevastopol', Sevastopol'
The Footlab model makes Sevastopol the favourite at 88%, against 8% for a draw and 3% for Izberbash. The most likely score is 3-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sevastopol vs Izberbash?
Sevastopol starts as the favourite with a 261-point Elo edge (1,833 vs 1,573).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sevastopol have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Izberbash have 5, 0 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Angust Nazran(away) | 1-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Astrakhan(home) | 3-4 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pobeda(away) | 3-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nart Cherkessk(home) | 2-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Druzhba(away) | 3-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Shahter Taganrog(home) | 0-2 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rubin Yalta(away) | 1-2 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kyzyltash(home) | 1-6 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rostov II(away) | 0-5 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Anzhi(away) | 5-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Sevastopol win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Izberbash win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Izberbash 0-3 Sevastopol | Second League - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Izberbash vs Sevastopol on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sevastopol score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Izberbash score 1.3 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevastopol | 1.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Izberbash | 1.3 | 2.7 | 1 | 9/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sevastopol sit 2nd in Second League - Group 1 (45 points from 20 matches) and Izberbash sit 12th (18 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Sevastopol | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 37 | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | Izberbash | 20 | 6 | 0 | 14 | 18 | 54 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sevastopol vs Izberbash?
- The Footlab model makes Sevastopol the favourite at 88%, against 8% for a draw and 3% for Izberbash.
- Where and when is Sevastopol vs Izberbash played?
- Sevastopol vs Izberbash is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at SK Sevastopol', in the Second League - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.