Kyzyltash vs Pobeda: prediction and stats
Second League - Group 1Group 1 - 28Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Kyzyltash the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Pobeda. The most likely score is 1-1. If Kyzyltash wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kyzyltash vs Pobeda?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Kyzyltash (1,643) and Pobeda (1,690).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Kyzyltash vs Pobeda
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Kyzyltash
Not enough data to predict the Kyzyltash lineup.
Pobeda
4-3-3- 9I. Vagabov
- 29A. Avagumyan
- 7R. Salimov
- 25M. Azarenkov
- 8Mutaalim Magomedov
- 37A. Temukov
- 4I. Yamalavov
- 33R. Khalimbekov
- 15A. Abdulaev
- 19S. Kurbanov
- 16A. Sultanaliev
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:40 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kyzyltash have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Pobeda have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Astrakhan(away) | 0-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Shahter Taganrog(home) | 2-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FK Chayka 2(away) | 1-3 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Rubin Yalta(home) | 2-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Sevastopol(away) | 1-2 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Rubin Yalta(home) | 2-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Angust Nazran(away) | 0-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Spartak Nalchik(home) | 4-3 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Dynamo Makhachkala II(away) | 2-0 | Second League - Group 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Astrakhan(home) | 2-1 | Second League - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Kyzyltash wins, 1 draw, 0 Pobeda wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Pobeda 0-0 Kyzyltash | Second League - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Kyzyltash score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Pobeda score 1.8 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyzyltash | 1.7 | 1.6 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Pobeda | 1.8 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kyzyltash sit 6th in Second League - Group 1 (31 points from 21 matches) and Pobeda sit 5th (33 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pobeda | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 38 | 27 | 33 |
| 6 | Kyzyltash | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 36 | 30 | 31 |
A question about Kyzyltash vs Pobeda?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kyzyltash vs Pobeda?
- The Footlab AI model makes Kyzyltash the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Pobeda.
- Where and when is Kyzyltash vs Pobeda played?
- Kyzyltash vs Pobeda is played on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the Second League - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.