Sevilla vs Real Sociedad: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 27Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, Sevilla
The Footlab AI model makes Sevilla the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Real Sociedad. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sevilla wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,566 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sevilla vs Real Sociedad?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Sevilla (2,066) and Real Sociedad (2,150).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sevilla vs Real Sociedad
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sevilla
4-4-2- 16Isaac
- 19L. Stassin
- 6L. Agoumé
- 24Y. Fofana
- 20Félix Correia
- 21C. Ejuke
- 5Andrés Castrín
- 17G. Suazo
- 2Juan Iglesias
- 4Kike Salas
- 1O. Vlachodimos
Real Sociedad
4-4-2- 10Mikel Oyarzabal
- 24L. Sučić
- 4Jon Gorrotxategi
- 11Gonçalo Guedes
- 18Carlos Soler
- 7Barrenetxea
- 6Jon Martín
- 19M. Sarr
- 17Sergio Gómez
- 2J. Aramburu
- 1Álex Remiro
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 10:25 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sevilla have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Real Sociedad have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Getafe(away) | 1-3 | La Liga |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Hortaleza(away) | 3-0 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Osasuna(home) | 2-0 | La Liga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Real Madrid(away) | 1-4 | La Liga |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Levante(away) | 3-3 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Athletic Club(away) | 1-2 | La Liga |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Levante(home) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Lillestrom(away) | 6-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Malaga(away) | 5-2 | La Liga |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Sevilla wins, 0 draws, 3 Real Sociedad wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2026 | Sevilla 1-0 Real Sociedad | La Liga |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Real Sociedad 2-1 Sevilla | La Liga |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Real Sociedad 0-1 Sevilla | La Liga |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Sevilla 0-2 Real Sociedad | La Liga |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Sevilla 3-2 Real Sociedad | La Liga |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Real Sociedad 2-1 Sevilla | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Sevilla vs Real Sociedad on May 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sevilla score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Real Sociedad score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | 1.5 | 1.6 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Real Sociedad | 1.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sevilla sit 6th in La Liga (17 points from 11 matches) and Real Sociedad sit 5th (19 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 19 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 19 | 17 |
A question about Sevilla vs Real Sociedad?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sevilla vs Real Sociedad?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sevilla the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Real Sociedad.
- Where and when is Sevilla vs Real Sociedad played?
- Sevilla vs Real Sociedad is played on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.