SGV Freiberg vs SSV Ulm 1846: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 22Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Wasen-Stadion, Freiberg
The Footlab AI model makes SGV Freiberg the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for SSV Ulm 1846. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,598 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SGV Freiberg vs SSV Ulm 1846?
SGV Freiberg starts as the favourite with a 259-point Elo edge (2,069 vs 1,810).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for SGV Freiberg vs SSV Ulm 1846
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
SGV Freiberg
Not enough data to predict the SGV Freiberg lineup.
SSV Ulm 1846
Not enough data to predict the SSV Ulm 1846 lineup.
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 05:25 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SGV Freiberg have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; SSV Ulm 1846 have 1, 7 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Kickers Offenbach(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Freiburg II(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 3, 2026 | TSV Steinbach(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Stuttgarter Kickers(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | FC 08 Homburg(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 17, 2026 | FSV Mainz 05 II(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt II(home) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hessen Kassel(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Eintracht Trier(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 SGV Freiberg wins, 1 draw, 2 SSV Ulm 1846 wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2026 | SSV Ulm 1846 4-4 SGV Freiberg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Apr 18, 2023 | SGV Freiberg 1-3 SSV Ulm 1846 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Sep 18, 2022 | SSV Ulm 1846 2-0 SGV Freiberg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
Last archived meeting: SSV Ulm 1846 vs SGV Freiberg on Sep 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SGV Freiberg score 2.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; SSV Ulm 1846 score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SGV Freiberg | 2.2 | 1.5 | 6 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| SSV Ulm 1846 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SGV Freiberg sit 1st in Regionalliga - SudWest (27 points from 13 matches) and SSV Ulm 1846 sit 17th (10 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SGV Freiberg | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 32 | 13 | 27 |
| 17 | SSV Ulm 1846 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 23 | 10 |
A question about SGV Freiberg vs SSV Ulm 1846?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SGV Freiberg vs SSV Ulm 1846?
- The Footlab AI model makes SGV Freiberg the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for SSV Ulm 1846.
- Where and when is SGV Freiberg vs SSV Ulm 1846 played?
- SGV Freiberg vs SSV Ulm 1846 is played on March 6, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Wasen-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 6, 2027SV SandhausenvsHessen Kassel
- Mar 6, 2027FSV Mainz 05 IIvsStuttgarter Kickers
- Mar 6, 2027FC Astoria WalldorfvsEintracht Frankfurt II
- Mar 6, 2027Eintracht TriervsVfR Aalen
- Mar 6, 2027Kickers OffenbachvsFSV Frankfurt
- Mar 6, 2027FC 08 HomburgvsVfR Mannheim
- Mar 6, 2027TSV SteinbachvsFreiburg II
- Mar 6, 2027Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.vsKaiserslautern II