Where and when is SSV Ulm 1846 vs SGV Freiberg played?

SSV Ulm 1846 vs SGV Freiberg is played on September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Donaustadion, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

SSV Ulm 1846 vs SGV Freiberg: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 5Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Donaustadion, Ulm

SSV Ulm 1846

SGV Freiberg

The Footlab model makes SGV Freiberg the favourite at 61%, against 20% for a draw and 19% for SSV Ulm 1846. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SSV Ulm 1846 vs SGV Freiberg?

SGV Freiberg starts as the favourite with a 254-point Elo edge (2,023 vs 1,769).

SSV Ulm 1846 win19 %

Draw20 %

SGV Freiberg win61 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SSV Ulm 1846 have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; SGV Freiberg have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SSV Ulm 1846
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.(home)	2-2	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 14, 2026	Kickers Offenbach(home)	0-2	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 7, 2026	Stuttgarter Kickers(away)	2-4	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 1, 2026	SSV Jahn Regensburg(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Stuttgart II(home)	0-4	Friendlies Clubs

SGV Freiberg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	VfR Mannheim(away)	0-0	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 15, 2026	FC 08 Homburg(home)	3-0	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 8, 2026	Kaiserslautern II(away)	5-0	Regionalliga - SudWest
Jul 18, 2026	1899 Hoffenheim(home)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 11, 2026	Hoffenheim II(home)	1-6	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 SSV Ulm 1846 win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 SGV Freiberg win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2023	SGV Freiberg 1-3 SSV Ulm 1846	Regionalliga - SudWest
Sep 18, 2022	SSV Ulm 1846 2-0 SGV Freiberg	Regionalliga - SudWest

Last archived meeting: SGV Freiberg vs SSV Ulm 1846 on Apr 18, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

SSV Ulm 1846 score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; SGV Freiberg score 1.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
SSV Ulm 1846	1.3	2.1	1	10/15	9/15
SGV Freiberg	1.7	2.1	4	9/15	13/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SSV Ulm 1846 sit 17th in Regionalliga - SudWest (1 points from 3 matches) and SGV Freiberg sit 2nd (7 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	SGV Freiberg	3	2	1	0	8	0	7
17	SSV Ulm 1846	3	0	1	2	4	8	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SSV Ulm 1846 vs SGV Freiberg?: The Footlab model makes SGV Freiberg the favourite at 61%, against 20% for a draw and 19% for SSV Ulm 1846.
Where and when is SSV Ulm 1846 vs SGV Freiberg played?: SSV Ulm 1846 vs SGV Freiberg is played on September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Donaustadion, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.