Sheffield Utd vs Portsmouth: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 32Kick-off on February 16, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Bramall Lane, Sheffield
The Footlab model makes Sheffield Utd the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Portsmouth. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sheffield Utd vs Portsmouth?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Sheffield Utd (1,928) and Portsmouth (1,856).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sheffield Utd have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Portsmouth have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Blackburn(away) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Swansea(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Birmingham(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Mansfield Town(away) | 3-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | VfL Bochum(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lincoln(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | QPR(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | West Ham(away) | 1-3 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SV Darmstadt 98(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Farnborough(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Sheffield Utd win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Portsmouth win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Portsmouth 0-1 Sheffield Utd | Championship |
| Nov 26, 2025 | Sheffield Utd 3-0 Portsmouth | Championship |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Sheffield Utd 2-1 Portsmouth | Championship |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Portsmouth 0-0 Sheffield Utd | Championship |
| Apr 20, 2013 | Portsmouth 3-0 Sheffield Utd | League One |
| Oct 29, 2012 | Sheffield Utd 1-0 Portsmouth | League One |
Last archived meeting: Portsmouth vs Sheffield Utd on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sheffield Utd score 1.6 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Portsmouth score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield Utd | 1.6 | 0.8 | 7 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Portsmouth | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sheffield Utd sit 15th in Championship (2 points from 2 matches) and Portsmouth sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Portsmouth | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | Sheffield Utd | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sheffield Utd vs Portsmouth?
- The Footlab model makes Sheffield Utd the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Portsmouth.
- Where and when is Sheffield Utd vs Portsmouth played?
- Sheffield Utd vs Portsmouth is played on February 16, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Bramall Lane, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.