Blackburn vs Bristol City: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 32Kick-off on February 16, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Ewood Park, Blackburn, Lancashire
The Footlab AI model makes Blackburn the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Bristol City. The most likely score is 1-1. If Blackburn wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,778 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Blackburn vs Bristol City?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Blackburn (1,969) and Bristol City (1,936).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Blackburn vs Bristol City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Blackburn
4-2-3-1- 9A. Guðjohnsen
- 21O. Afolayan
- 10T. Cantwell
- 8Sam Morsy
- 25R. Morishita
- 31Kristi Montgomery
- 15S. McLoughlin
- 2R. Alebiosu
- 3H. Pickering
- 17H. Carter
- 22B. Tóth
Bristol City
4-2-3-1- 23D. Ballard
- 12J. Knight
- 21Rio Cardines
- 27G. Yah
- 10S. Twine
- 7Y. Hirakawa
- 19G. Tanner
- 3C. Pring
- 15L. McNally
- 2L. Eissat
- 1S. Tickle
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 08:18 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Blackburn have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Bristol City have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Wrexham(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Oct 17, 2026 | West Brom(away) | 2-3 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Bristol City(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cardiff(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Portsmouth(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Stoke City(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Blackburn(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Charlton(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Crystal Palace(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Blackburn wins, 0 draws, 3 Bristol City wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Bristol City 0-1 Blackburn | Championship |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Blackburn 1-2 Bristol City | Championship |
| Nov 4, 2025 | Bristol City 0-1 Blackburn | Championship |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Bristol City 2-1 Blackburn | Championship |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Blackburn 3-0 Bristol City | Championship |
| Apr 10, 2024 | Bristol City 5-0 Blackburn | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Bristol City vs Blackburn on Oct 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Blackburn score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bristol City score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blackburn | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Bristol City | 1.0 | 1.1 | 3 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Blackburn sit 10th in Championship (18 points from 12 matches) and Bristol City sit 14th (15 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Blackburn | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 18 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 15 |
A question about Blackburn vs Bristol City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Blackburn vs Bristol City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Blackburn the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Bristol City.
- Where and when is Blackburn vs Bristol City played?
- Blackburn vs Bristol City is played on February 16, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Ewood Park, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.