Swansea vs Stoke City: prediction and stats
ChampionshipMatchday 36Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea
The Footlab AI model makes Swansea the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Stoke City. The most likely score is 1-1. If Swansea wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,206 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Swansea vs Stoke City?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Swansea (2,099) and Stoke City (2,083).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Swansea vs Stoke City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Swansea
4-3-3- 30Joseph Okopu
- 7M. Widell
- 49M. Yeo
- 4J. Fulton
- 6M. Stamenić
- 17Gonçalo Franco
- 14J. Tymon
- 26F. Lissah
- 5B. Cabango
- 23S. Welsh
- 22L. Vigouroux
Stoke City
3-4-3- 7J. McGlynn
- 9R. Boženík
- 13J. Devenny
- 2B. Johnson
- 27El Hadji Djibril Soumaré
- 8E. Galbraith
- 21L. Bombino
- 16B. Wilmot
- 5L. Graham
- 18B. Lawal
- 1V. Johansson
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 09:02 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Swansea have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Stoke City have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Birmingham(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Portsmouth(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Blackburn(home) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Oct 24, 2026 | QPR(away) | 0-5 | Championship |
| Oct 17, 2026 | West Ham(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Portsmouth(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Blackburn(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Preston(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Bristol City(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Derby(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Swansea wins, 1 draw, 2 Stoke City wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stoke City 1-2 Swansea | Championship |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Swansea 2-0 Stoke City | Championship |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Stoke City 2-1 Swansea | Championship |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Stoke City 3-1 Swansea | Championship |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Swansea 0-0 Stoke City | Championship |
| Apr 10, 2024 | Swansea 3-0 Stoke City | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Stoke City vs Swansea on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Swansea score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Stoke City score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea | 1.5 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Stoke City | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Swansea sit 6th in Championship (26 points from 15 matches) and Stoke City sit 3rd (29 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Stoke City | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | Swansea | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 26 |
A question about Swansea vs Stoke City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Swansea vs Stoke City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Swansea the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Stoke City.
- Where and when is Swansea vs Stoke City played?
- Swansea vs Stoke City is played on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Swansea.com Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.