Port Vale vs Accrington ST: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Vale Park, Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Port Vale the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Accrington ST. The most likely score is 1-1. If Port Vale wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.4% of the 3,641 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Port Vale vs Accrington ST?
On Elo ratings, Port Vale has 1,888 points and Accrington ST 1,850.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Port Vale vs Accrington ST
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Port Vale
3-5-2- 11O. Hernández
- 36M. Watters
- 6J. Lawrence-Gabriel
- 3J. Headley
- 10K. Dempsey
- 7G. Byers
- 8B. Garrity
- 25C. Humphreys
- 4J. Moon
- 2K. John
- 20M. Maroši
Accrington ST
3-4-1-2- 23T. Walton
- 30C. Warren
- 38C. O'Brien
- 33D. Tutonda
- 14Stefan Mols
- 39J. Woods
- 16Aidan Borland
- 17D. Matthews
- 2D. Love
- 28S. Conneely
- 1L. Moulden
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 01:15 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Port Vale have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Accrington ST have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | York(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Gillingham(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Chesterfield(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Grimsby(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Mansfield Town(home) | 2-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Rochdale(away) | 5-0 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | York(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Gillingham(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Oldham(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Salford City(home) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Port Vale wins, 2 draws, 1 Accrington ST win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2025 | Accrington ST 0-2 Port Vale | EFL Trophy |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Port Vale 2-1 Accrington ST | League Two |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Accrington ST 2-2 Port Vale | League Two |
| Apr 7, 2023 | Accrington ST 3-0 Port Vale | League One |
| Feb 7, 2023 | Port Vale 1-1 Accrington ST | League One |
| Nov 6, 2021 | Port Vale 5-1 Accrington ST | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Accrington ST vs Port Vale on Oct 7, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Port Vale score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Accrington ST score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Port Vale | 0.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
| Accrington ST | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Port Vale sit 23rd in League Two (12 points from 11 matches) and Accrington ST sit 9th (18 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Accrington ST | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 16 | 18 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 |
A question about Port Vale vs Accrington ST?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Port Vale vs Accrington ST?
- The Footlab AI model makes Port Vale the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Accrington ST.
- Where and when is Port Vale vs Accrington ST played?
- Port Vale vs Accrington ST is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Vale Park, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.