Sheger Ketema vs Welayta Dicha: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Welayta Dicha the favourite at 41%, against 34% for a draw and 25% for Sheger Ketema. The most likely score is 0-0. If Welayta Dicha wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 4,881 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sheger Ketema vs Welayta Dicha?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Sheger Ketema (1,529) and Welayta Dicha (1,567).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sheger Ketema vs Welayta Dicha
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sheger Ketema
Not enough data to predict the Sheger Ketema lineup.
Welayta Dicha
4-3-3- 10C. Damtew
- 19Y. Darza
- 11A. Aliso
- 8A. Kidane
- 16T. Taffese
- 14M. Nicole
- 44N. Nasaro
- 27Yonatan Elias
- 5K. Kebede
- 26Wubshet Kifle
- 1B. Genetu
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 03:01 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sheger Ketema have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Welayta Dicha have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Negelle Arsi(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Kedus Giorgis(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Mebrat Hayl(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Adama Kenema(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ethiopia Bunna(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Welwalo Adigrat Uni(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Halaba Ketema(home) | 6-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Bahardar(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Hadiya Hosaena(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Fasil Ketema(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Sheger Ketema wins, 1 draw, 1 Welayta Dicha win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026 | Sheger Ketema 0-0 Welayta Dicha | Premier League |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Welayta Dicha 3-1 Sheger Ketema | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Sheger Ketema vs Welayta Dicha on Apr 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sheger Ketema score 0.8 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Welayta Dicha score 1.3 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 26% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheger Ketema | 0.8 | 0.7 | 8 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Welayta Dicha | 1.3 | 0.5 | 11 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sheger Ketema sit 12th in Premier League (5 points from 5 matches) and Welayta Dicha sit 3rd (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Welayta Dicha | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 8 |
| 12 | Sheger Ketema | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
A question about Sheger Ketema vs Welayta Dicha?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sheger Ketema vs Welayta Dicha?
- The Footlab AI model makes Welayta Dicha the favourite at 41%, against 34% for a draw and 25% for Sheger Ketema.
- Where and when is Sheger Ketema vs Welayta Dicha played?
- Sheger Ketema vs Welayta Dicha is played on January 16, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 26% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 16, 2027Adama KenemavsHadiya Hosaena
- Jan 16, 2027Awassa KenemavsWelwalo Adigrat Uni
- Jan 16, 2027Ethiopia BunnavsEthiopian Medhin
- Jan 16, 2027Kedus GiorgisvsEthiopia Nigd Bank
- Jan 16, 2027Sidama BunnavsBahardar
- Jan 16, 2027Mebrat HaylvsMekelakeya
- Jan 16, 2027Negelle ArsivsHalaba Ketema
- Jan 16, 2027Gamo ChenchavsFasil Ketema