Shonan Bellmare vs Reinmeer Aomori: prediction and stats
Emperor Cup2nd RoundKick-off on August 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka, Hiratsuka
The Footlab model makes Shonan Bellmare the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Reinmeer Aomori. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shonan Bellmare vs Reinmeer Aomori?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Shonan Bellmare (1,839) and Reinmeer Aomori (1,769).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shonan Bellmare have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Reinmeer Aomori have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki(away) | 0-0 | J2 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Montedio Yamagata(home) | 1-0 | J2 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Oita Trinita(away) | 1-0 | J2 League |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Kyoto Sanga(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Sagan Tosu(away) | 0-1 | J2/J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Akita University(home) | 15-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Nov 23, 2025 | TIAMO Hirakata(away) | 1-5 | Japan Football League |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Verspah Oita(home) | 0-3 | Japan Football League |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Porvenir Asuka(home) | 3-1 | Japan Football League |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Honda Lock(away) | 4-1 | Japan Football League |
How many goals should we expect?
Shonan Bellmare score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Reinmeer Aomori score 2.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shonan Bellmare | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Reinmeer Aomori | 2.4 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shonan Bellmare vs Reinmeer Aomori?
- The Footlab model makes Shonan Bellmare the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Reinmeer Aomori.
- Where and when is Shonan Bellmare vs Reinmeer Aomori played?
- Shonan Bellmare vs Reinmeer Aomori is played on August 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka, in the Emperor Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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