Where and when is Nagoya Grampus vs Gainare Tottori played?

Nagoya Grampus vs Gainare Tottori is played on August 26, 2026 at 09:30 AM (UTC) at Toyota Stadium, in the Emperor Cup.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Nagoya Grampus vs Gainare Tottori: prediction and stats

Emperor Cup2nd RoundKick-off on August 26, 2026 at 09:30 AM (UTC)Toyota Stadium, Toyota

Nagoya Grampus

Gainare Tottori

The Footlab model makes Nagoya Grampus the favourite at 80%, against 13% for a draw and 7% for Gainare Tottori. The most likely score is 3-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nagoya Grampus vs Gainare Tottori?

Nagoya Grampus starts as the favourite with a 259-point Elo edge (1,953 vs 1,694).

Nagoya Grampus win80 %

Draw13 %

Gainare Tottori win7 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nagoya Grampus have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Gainare Tottori have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nagoya Grampus
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Gamba Osaka(home)	3-1	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Kashima(away)	1-2	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Shimizu S-pulse(home)	0-1	J1 League
Jul 25, 2026	Consadole Sapporo(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2026	FC Tokyo(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs

Gainare Tottori
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Fukushima United(home)	2-1	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Roasso Kumamoto(home)	2-2	Emperor Cup
Aug 16, 2026	Ehime FC(away)	0-4	J3 League
Aug 8, 2026	Osaka(home)	1-1	J3 League
Jun 6, 2026	FC Gifu(away)	1-1	J2/J3 League

How many goals should we expect?

Nagoya Grampus score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Gainare Tottori score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Nagoya Grampus	1.5	1.7	2	11/15	11/15
Gainare Tottori	1.5	1.5	1	10/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nagoya Grampus vs Gainare Tottori?: The Footlab model makes Nagoya Grampus the favourite at 80%, against 13% for a draw and 7% for Gainare Tottori.
Where and when is Nagoya Grampus vs Gainare Tottori played?: Nagoya Grampus vs Gainare Tottori is played on August 26, 2026 at 09:30 AM (UTC) at Toyota Stadium, in the Emperor Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.