Match

Vegalta Sendai vs Tochigi City: prediction and stats

Emperor Cup2nd RoundKick-off on August 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Yurtec Stadium Sendai, Sendai

Vegalta SendaiTochigi City

The Footlab model makes Vegalta Sendai the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for Tochigi City. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Vegalta Sendai vs Tochigi City?

A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Vegalta Sendai (1,881) and Tochigi City (1,821).

Vegalta Sendai win65 %
Draw19 %
Tochigi City win16 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vegalta Sendai have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Tochigi City have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Vegalta Sendai
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Vanraure Hachinohe(away)2-0J2 League
Aug 15, 2026Oita Trinita(home)0-0J2 League
Aug 8, 2026Fujieda MYFC(away)0-2J2 League
Jul 15, 2026Kashima(away)0-5Friendlies Clubs
Jun 6, 2026Kataller Toyama(home)1-1J2/J3 League
Tochigi City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Sagan Tosu(away)3-1J2 League
Aug 15, 2026Vanraure Hachinohe(home)5-0J2 League
Aug 9, 2026Montedio Yamagata(away)0-2J2 League
Jul 15, 2026Cerezo Osaka(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Jun 6, 2026Biwako Shiga(home)3-1J2/J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Vegalta Sendai win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Tochigi City win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Vegalta Sendai 5-0 Tochigi CityJ2/J3 League
Feb 7, 2026Tochigi City 1-4 Vegalta SendaiJ2/J3 League

Last archived meeting: Vegalta Sendai vs Tochigi City on Apr 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Vegalta Sendai score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Tochigi City score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Vegalta Sendai1.51.175/157/15
Tochigi City1.61.537/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Vegalta Sendai vs Tochigi City?
The Footlab model makes Vegalta Sendai the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for Tochigi City.
Where and when is Vegalta Sendai vs Tochigi City played?
Vegalta Sendai vs Tochigi City is played on August 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Yurtec Stadium Sendai, in the Emperor Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Vegalta Sendai and Tochigi City

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