Shrewsbury vs Carlisle: result 2-1 and analysis
League OneRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 15, 2012 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Croud Meadow, Shrewsbury, Shropshire
Full time
What was the result of Shrewsbury vs Carlisle?
Shrewsbury won 2-1 on December 15, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 22′J. TaylorShrewsbury
- 33′L. NobleCarlisle
- 64′P. ParryShrewsbury
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shrewsbury have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Carlisle have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2012 | Crawley Town(away) | 2-2 | League One |
| Nov 24, 2012 | Oldham(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Nov 20, 2012 | Milton Keynes Dons(home) | 2-2 | League One |
| Nov 17, 2012 | Crewe(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Nov 10, 2012 | Leyton Orient(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2012 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 1-3 | League One |
| Dec 1, 2012 | Bournemouth(home) | 1-3 | FA Cup |
| Nov 24, 2012 | Yeovil Town(away) | 3-1 | League One |
| Nov 20, 2012 | Doncaster(home) | 1-3 | League One |
| Nov 17, 2012 | Leyton Orient(home) | 1-4 | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Shrewsbury score 0.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Carlisle score 1.4 and concede 2.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shrewsbury | 0.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Carlisle | 1.4 | 2.3 | 0 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy