Match

Sokół Kolb. vs Jarosław: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Kolbuszowa Dolna, Kolbuszowa Dolna

Sokół Kolb.Jarosław

The Footlab model makes Sokół Kolb. the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Jarosław. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sokół Kolb. vs Jarosław?

A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Sokół Kolb. (1,713) and Jarosław (1,749).

Sokół Kolb. win40 %
Draw25 %
Jarosław win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sokół Kolb. have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Jarosław have 7, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sokół Kolb.
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Siarka Tarnobrzeg(home)2-0III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026KS Wieczysta Krakow II(away)1-1III Liga - Group 4
Aug 14, 2026Wisłoka Dębica(home)1-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026Chełmianka Chełm(away)0-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 1, 2026Jarosław(away)2-2III Liga - Group 4
Jarosław
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Podlasie Biała Podlaska(home)2-0III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026Siarka Tarnobrzeg(away)3-1III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026KS Wieczysta Krakow II(home)1-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026Wisłoka Dębica(away)1-3III Liga - Group 4
Aug 1, 2026Sokół Kolb.(home)2-2III Liga - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Sokół Kolb. win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Jarosław win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 1, 2026Jarosław 2-2 Sokół Kolb.III Liga - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Jarosław vs Sokół Kolb. on Aug 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sokół Kolb. score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Jarosław score 2.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sokół Kolb.1.41.1410/158/15
Jarosław2.21.7111/1311/13

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sokół Kolb. sit 13th in III Liga - Group 4 (5 points from 5 matches) and Jarosław sit 6th (7 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Jarosław5212987
13Sokół Kolb.5122675

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sokół Kolb. vs Jarosław?
The Footlab model makes Sokół Kolb. the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Jarosław.
Where and when is Sokół Kolb. vs Jarosław played?
Sokół Kolb. vs Jarosław is played on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Kolbuszowa Dolna, in the III Liga - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Sokół Kolb. and Jarosław

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