Sokół Kolb. vs Jarosław: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Kolbuszowa Dolna, Kolbuszowa Dolna
The Footlab AI model makes Sokół Kolb. the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Jarosław. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sokół Kolb. wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 3,018 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sokół Kolb. vs Jarosław?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Sokół Kolb. (1,702) and Jarosław (1,714).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sokół Kolb. vs Jarosław
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sokół Kolb.
Not enough data to predict the Sokół Kolb. lineup.
Jarosław
Not enough data to predict the Jarosław lineup.
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 09:31 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sokół Kolb. have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Jarosław have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Wisła Kraków II(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Naprzód(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Moravia Morawica(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | KSZO 1929(home) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Wisła Kraków II(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Naprzód(home) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Moravia Morawica(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(home) | 5-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Sokół Kolb. wins, 1 draw, 0 Jarosław wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Jarosław 2-2 Sokół Kolb. | III Liga - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Jarosław vs Sokół Kolb. on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sokół Kolb. score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Jarosław score 2.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sokół Kolb. | 1.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Jarosław | 2.2 | 1.9 | 2 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sokół Kolb. sit 10th in III Liga - Group 4 (16 points from 13 matches) and Jarosław sit 7th (17 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jarosław | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 17 |
| 10 | Sokół Kolb. | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 16 |
A question about Sokół Kolb. vs Jarosław?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sokół Kolb. vs Jarosław?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sokół Kolb. the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Jarosław.
- Where and when is Sokół Kolb. vs Jarosław played?
- Sokół Kolb. vs Jarosław is played on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Kolbuszowa Dolna, in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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