Sokół Kolb. vs Jarosław: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Kolbuszowa Dolna, Kolbuszowa Dolna
The Footlab model makes Sokół Kolb. the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Jarosław. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sokół Kolb. vs Jarosław?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Sokół Kolb. (1,713) and Jarosław (1,749).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sokół Kolb. have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Jarosław have 7, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Wisłoka Dębica(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chełmianka Chełm(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Jarosław(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg(away) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wisłoka Dębica(away) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sokół Kolb.(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Sokół Kolb. win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Jarosław win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Jarosław 2-2 Sokół Kolb. | III Liga - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Jarosław vs Sokół Kolb. on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sokół Kolb. score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Jarosław score 2.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sokół Kolb. | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Jarosław | 2.2 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/13 | 11/13 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sokół Kolb. sit 13th in III Liga - Group 4 (5 points from 5 matches) and Jarosław sit 6th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Jarosław | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
| 13 | Sokół Kolb. | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sokół Kolb. vs Jarosław?
- The Footlab model makes Sokół Kolb. the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Jarosław.
- Where and when is Sokół Kolb. vs Jarosław played?
- Sokół Kolb. vs Jarosław is played on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Kolbuszowa Dolna, in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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