Sidama Bunna vs Ethiopia Bunna: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueMatchday 9Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Yirgalem Stadium, Yirgalem
The Footlab AI model makes Sidama Bunna the favourite at 41%, against 35% for a draw and 24% for Ethiopia Bunna. The most likely score is 0-0. If Sidama Bunna wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,443 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sidama Bunna vs Ethiopia Bunna?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Sidama Bunna (1,588) and Ethiopia Bunna (1,527).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sidama Bunna vs Ethiopia Bunna
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sidama Bunna
4-3-3- 2A. Musse
- 21T. Bejrond
- 20B. Nago
- 6Y. Yohannis
- 10F. Tewoldebrhan
- 8R. Nassir
- 14B. Bekele
- 31M. Muzie
- 15D. Demu
- 16Y. Bayeh
- 47Y. Abure
Ethiopia Bunna
Not enough data to predict the Ethiopia Bunna lineup.
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 12:22 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sidama Bunna have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Ethiopia Bunna have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Mekelakeya(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Al Hilal Omdurman(away) | 0-2 | CAF Champions League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Al Hilal Omdurman(home) | 0-2 | CAF Champions League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Aiglons(home) | 3-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Adama Kenema(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Mebrat Hayl(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Negelle Arsi(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Kedus Giorgis(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sheger Ketema(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Sidama Bunna wins, 0 draws, 2 Ethiopia Bunna wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2026 | Ethiopia Bunna 1-2 Sidama Bunna | Premier League |
| Jan 22, 2026 | Sidama Bunna 3-0 Ethiopia Bunna | Premier League |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Ethiopia Bunna 0-1 Sidama Bunna | Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Sidama Bunna 2-0 Ethiopia Bunna | Premier League |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Ethiopia Bunna 3-0 Sidama Bunna | Premier League |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Sidama Bunna 0-1 Ethiopia Bunna | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Ethiopia Bunna vs Sidama Bunna on Jun 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sidama Bunna score 0.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Ethiopia Bunna score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 24% probability of over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sidama Bunna | 0.9 | 0.8 | 6 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| Ethiopia Bunna | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sidama Bunna sit 16th in Premier League (1 point from 2 matches) and Ethiopia Bunna sit 14th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Ethiopia Bunna | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 4 |
| 16 | Sidama Bunna | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
A question about Sidama Bunna vs Ethiopia Bunna?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sidama Bunna vs Ethiopia Bunna?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sidama Bunna the favourite at 41%, against 35% for a draw and 24% for Ethiopia Bunna.
- Where and when is Sidama Bunna vs Ethiopia Bunna played?
- Sidama Bunna vs Ethiopia Bunna is played on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Yirgalem Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 24% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 5, 2026Adama KenemavsWelwalo Adigrat Uni
- Dec 5, 2026Awassa KenemavsMebrat Hayl
- Dec 5, 2026MekelakeyavsWelayta Dicha
- Dec 5, 2026Ethiopia Nigd BankvsHalaba Ketema
- Dec 5, 2026Ethiopian MedhinvsHadiya Hosaena
- Dec 5, 2026Sheger KetemavsFasil Ketema
- Dec 5, 2026Negelle ArsivsBahardar
- Dec 5, 2026Gamo ChenchavsKedus Giorgis