Sidama Bunna vs Mekelakeya: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Yirgalem Stadium, Yirgalem
The Footlab AI model makes Sidama Bunna the favourite at 37%, against 35% for a draw and 28% for Mekelakeya. The most likely score is 0-0. If Sidama Bunna wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,526 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sidama Bunna vs Mekelakeya?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Sidama Bunna (1,610) and Mekelakeya (1,585).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sidama Bunna vs Mekelakeya
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sidama Bunna
4-3-3- 2A. Musse
- 21T. Bejrond
- 20B. Nago
- 6Y. Yohannis
- 10F. Tewoldebrhan
- 8R. Nassir
- 14B. Bekele
- 31M. Muzie
- 15D. Demu
- 16Y. Bayeh
- 47Y. Abure
Mekelakeya
4-3-3- 27A. Yigzaw
- 14Mohammed Abera
- 35C. Kudjoe
- 7Bereket Desta Dana
- 10Abdulkarim Worku
- 19C. Gugsa
- 6G. Hagos
- 34N. Hailu
- 2F. Jemal
- 22C. Menberu
- 1Nafian Legason Alionzi
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 11:03 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sidama Bunna have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Mekelakeya have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Aiglons(home) | 3-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Aiglons(away) | 0-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Mebrat Hayl(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Bahardar(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Awassa Kenema(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Hadiya Hosaena(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Sheger Ketema(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Ethiopian Medhin(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Kedus Giorgis(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sidama Bunna wins, 1 draw, 3 Mekelakeya wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | Sidama Bunna 1-3 Mekelakeya | Premier League |
| Nov 26, 2025 | Mekelakeya 1-2 Sidama Bunna | Premier League |
| May 8, 2025 | Sidama Bunna 2-2 Mekelakeya | Premier League |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Mekelakeya 1-2 Sidama Bunna | Premier League |
| Jun 22, 2024 | Sidama Bunna 1-4 Mekelakeya | Premier League |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Mekelakeya 2-1 Sidama Bunna | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Sidama Bunna vs Mekelakeya on Apr 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sidama Bunna score 1.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Mekelakeya score 1.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 25% probability of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sidama Bunna | 1.0 | 0.7 | 6 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Mekelakeya | 1.0 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sidama Bunna sit 15th in Premier League (0 points from 1 match) and Mekelakeya sit 3rd (3 points from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mekelakeya | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 15 | Sidama Bunna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
A question about Sidama Bunna vs Mekelakeya?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sidama Bunna vs Mekelakeya?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sidama Bunna the favourite at 37%, against 35% for a draw and 28% for Mekelakeya.
- Where and when is Sidama Bunna vs Mekelakeya played?
- Sidama Bunna vs Mekelakeya is played on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Yirgalem Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 25% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026Awassa KenemavsGamo Chencha
- Oct 31, 2026Ethiopia BunnavsAdama Kenema
- Oct 31, 2026Fasil KetemavsBahardar
- Oct 31, 2026Welayta DichavsWelwalo Adigrat Uni
- Oct 31, 2026Mebrat HaylvsKedus Giorgis
- Oct 31, 2026Ethiopia Nigd BankvsEthiopian Medhin
- Oct 31, 2026Sheger KetemavsNegelle Arsi
- Oct 31, 2026Halaba KetemavsHadiya Hosaena