Sierra Leone vs Ghana: prediction and stats
Africa Cup of NationsGroup Stage - 5Kick-off on October 14, 2018 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Siaka Stevens National Stadium, Freetown
Match cancelled
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 9 matches in all competitions, Sierra Leone have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Ghana have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2018 | Ethiopia(away) | 0-1 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Jul 22, 2018 | Liberia(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 17, 2018 | Iran(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies |
| Jul 21, 2017 | Senegal(away) | 1-3 | African Nations Championship |
| Jul 14, 2017 | Senegal(home) | 1-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2018 | Kenya(away) | 0-1 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Jun 7, 2018 | Iceland(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies |
| May 30, 2018 | Japan(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Nov 12, 2017 | Egypt(home) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Oct 7, 2017 | Uganda(away) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
How many goals should we expect?
Sierra Leone score 0.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 9; Ghana score 1.4 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sierra Leone | 0.7 | 1.4 | 1 | 4/9 | 4/9 |
| Ghana | 1.4 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 9 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy