Kenya vs Ethiopia: result 3-0 and analysis
Africa Cup of NationsGroup Stage - 5Kick-off on October 14, 2018 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Mandela National Stadium, Kampala
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What was the result of Kenya vs Ethiopia?
Kenya won 3-0 on October 14, 2018.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kenya have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Ethiopia have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2018 | Ethiopia(away) | 0-0 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Sep 11, 2018 | Malawi(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Sep 8, 2018 | Ghana(home) | 1-0 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| May 28, 2018 | Equatorial Guinea(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| May 25, 2018 | Swaziland(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2018 | Kenya(home) | 0-0 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Sep 9, 2018 | Sierra Leone(home) | 1-0 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Sep 2, 2018 | Burundi(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Dec 10, 2017 | Uganda(home) | 1-1 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Dec 7, 2017 | Burundi(away) | 1-4 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Kenya win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Ethiopia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2018 | Ethiopia 0-0 Kenya | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Nov 27, 2013 | Kenya 0-0 Ethiopia | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Nov 30, 2012 | Kenya 3-1 Ethiopia | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Kenya score 1.0 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Ethiopia score 1.2 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenya | 1.0 | 0.8 | 9 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Ethiopia | 1.2 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy