Kenya vs Ethiopia: result 3-0 and analysis
Africa Cup of NationsGroup Stage - 5Kick-off on October 14, 2018 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Mandela National Stadium, Kampala
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What was the result of Kenya vs Ethiopia?
Kenya won 3-0 on October 14, 2018.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kenya have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Ethiopia have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2018 | Ethiopia(away) | 0-0 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Sep 11, 2018 | Malawi(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Sep 8, 2018 | Ghana(home) | 1-0 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| May 28, 2018 | Equatorial Guinea(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| May 25, 2018 | Swaziland(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2018 | Kenya(home) | 0-0 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Sep 9, 2018 | Sierra Leone(home) | 1-0 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Sep 2, 2018 | Burundi(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Dec 10, 2017 | Uganda(home) | 1-1 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Dec 7, 2017 | Burundi(away) | 1-4 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Kenya win, 2 draws, 0 Ethiopia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2018 | Ethiopia 0-0 Kenya | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Nov 27, 2013 | Kenya 0-0 Ethiopia | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Nov 30, 2012 | Kenya 3-1 Ethiopia | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Kenya score 1.0 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Ethiopia score 1.2 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenya | 1.0 | 0.8 | 9 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Ethiopia | 1.2 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy