Guinea-Bissau vs Zambia: result 2-1 and analysis
Africa Cup of NationsGroup stage · Matchday 5Kick-off on October 14, 2018 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Nacional 24 de Setembro, Bissau
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What was the result of Guinea-Bissau vs Zambia?
Guinea-Bissau won 2-1 on October 14, 2018.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, Guinea-Bissau have 1 win, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Zambia have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2018 | Zambia(away) | 1-2 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Sep 8, 2018 | Mozambique(away) | 2-2 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Jul 21, 2017 | Guinea(away) | 0-7 | African Nations Championship |
| Jul 14, 2017 | Guinea(home) | 1-3 | African Nations Championship |
| Jul 8, 2017 | Gambia(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2018 | Guinea-Bissau(home) | 2-1 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Sep 11, 2018 | Gabon(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Sep 8, 2018 | Namibia(away) | 1-1 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Mar 24, 2018 | South Africa(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Mar 21, 2018 | Zimbabwe(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Guinea-Bissau wins, 0 draws, 1 Zambia win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2018 | Zambia 2-1 Guinea-Bissau | Africa Cup of Nations |
Last archived meeting: Zambia vs Guinea-Bissau on Oct 10, 2018
How many goals should we expect?
Guinea-Bissau score 0.8 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 12; Zambia score 1.5 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guinea-Bissau | 0.8 | 2.3 | 1 | 8/12 | 7/12 |
| Zambia | 1.5 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Zambia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy