Madagascar vs Equatorial Guinea: result 1-0 and analysis
Africa Cup of NationsGroup Stage - 5Kick-off on October 16, 2018 at 11:30 AM (UTC)National Sports Complex Pitch 1, Saint Pierre
Full time
What was the result of Madagascar vs Equatorial Guinea?
Madagascar won 1-0 on October 16, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 45′Martin Njiva RakotoharimalalaMadagascar
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Madagascar have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Equatorial Guinea have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2018 | Equatorial Guinea(away) | 1-0 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Sep 9, 2018 | Senegal(home) | 2-2 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Mar 24, 2018 | Kosovo(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 21, 2018 | Togo(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Nov 11, 2017 | Comoros(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2018 | Madagascar(home) | 0-1 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Sep 8, 2018 | Sudan(home) | 1-0 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| May 28, 2018 | Kenya(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Jan 23, 2018 | Nigeria(home) | 1-3 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 19, 2018 | Rwanda(away) | 0-1 | African Nations Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Madagascar win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Equatorial Guinea win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2018 | Equatorial Guinea 0-1 Madagascar | Africa Cup of Nations |
Last archived meeting: Equatorial Guinea vs Madagascar on Oct 13, 2018
How many goals should we expect?
Madagascar score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Equatorial Guinea score 0.7 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madagascar | 1.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Equatorial Guinea | 0.7 | 1.4 | 4 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy