Sioni vs Gori: prediction and stats
Erovnuli Liga 2Regular Season - 29Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadioni Tamaz Stepania, Bolnisi
The Footlab model makes Sioni the favourite at 45%, against 30% for a draw and 25% for Gori. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sioni vs Gori?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Sioni (1,454) and Gori (1,423).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sioni have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Gori have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Odishi 1919(away) | 1-0 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Shturmi(home) | 0-1 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gori(away) | 1-4 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Gori(away) | 0-1 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Samtredia(home) | 3-2 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Aragvi Dusheti(away) | 0-1 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Samtredia(away) | 0-1 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sioni(home) | 4-1 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Dila(home) | 0-2 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sioni(home) | 1-0 | David Kipiani Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Sioni win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Gori win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gori 4-1 Sioni | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Gori 1-0 Sioni | David Kipiani Cup |
| May 6, 2026 | Sioni 1-1 Gori | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Gori 0-0 Sioni | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Sioni score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Gori score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sioni | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Gori | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sioni sit 6th in Erovnuli Liga 2 (28 points from 22 matches) and Gori sit 9th (19 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Sioni | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 27 | 25 | 28 |
| 9 | Gori | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 27 | 19 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sioni vs Gori?
- The Footlab model makes Sioni the favourite at 45%, against 30% for a draw and 25% for Gori.
- Where and when is Sioni vs Gori played?
- Sioni vs Gori is played on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadioni Tamaz Stepania, in the Erovnuli Liga 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.