Gareji vs Telavi: prediction and stats
Erovnuli Liga 2Regular Season - 29Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Telavi the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Gareji. The most likely score is 1-1. If Telavi wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gareji vs Telavi?
On Elo ratings, Gareji has 1,526 points and Telavi 1,548.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gareji vs Telavi
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gareji
4-3-3- 17L. Kalandadze
- 29B. Gugberidze
- 14I. Tchikaidze
- 4L. Tolordava
- 10T. Babunadze
- 11D. Aidarashvili
- 26Z. Eradze
- 24G. Samadashvili
- 15T. Kapanadze
- 5G. Nikolaishvili
- 12G. Bediashvili
Telavi
4-3-3- 33G. Kharebashvili
- 10G. Nikabadze
- 16D. Skhirtladze
- 13N. Galakhvaridze
- 8A. Devdariani
- 19D. Kutalia
- 23A. Datuashvili
- 11T. Zhividze
- 25D. Izotov
- 5P. Gabitashvili
- 12G. Chikashua
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gareji have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Telavi have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Odishi 1919(away) | 0-1 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Shturmi(away) | 0-1 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Gori(home) | 2-1 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Samtredia(away) | 1-6 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Sioni(home) | 3-3 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Aragvi Dusheti(away) | 4-1 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Odishi 1919(away) | 1-1 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Shturmi(home) | 1-1 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gori(away) | 2-2 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Samtredia(home) | 0-3 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Gareji win, 5 draws, 0 Telavi wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Telavi 0-0 Gareji | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| May 6, 2026 | Gareji 2-0 Telavi | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Telavi 0-0 Gareji | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Gareji 3-3 Telavi | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Telavi 0-0 Gareji | Erovnuli Liga |
| May 16, 2025 | Gareji 0-0 Telavi | Erovnuli Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Gareji score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Telavi score 1.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gareji | 1.4 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Telavi | 1.1 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gareji sit 1st in Erovnuli Liga 2 (50 points from 28 matches) and Telavi sit 3rd (43 points from 27 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gareji | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 35 | 29 | 50 |
| 3 | Telavi | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 43 |
A question about Gareji vs Telavi?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gareji vs Telavi?
- The Footlab AI model makes Telavi the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Gareji.
- Where and when is Gareji vs Telavi played?
- Gareji vs Telavi is played on October 17, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC), in the Erovnuli Liga 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.