Sirius vs AIK Stockholm: prediction and stats
AllsvenskanRegular Season - 25Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Studenternas IP, Uppsala
The Footlab model makes Sirius the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for AIK Stockholm. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sirius vs AIK Stockholm?
Sirius starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,940 vs 1,839).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sirius have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; AIK Stockholm have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | BK Hacken(home) | 0-3 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mjallby AIF(away) | 3-4 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 10, 2026 | IF Brommapojkarna(home) | 2-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Halmstad(away) | 2-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 26, 2026 | IFK Goteborg(home) | 4-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Piteå(away) | 3-0 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Djurgardens IF(away) | 3-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Orgryte IS(away) | 4-3 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Orgryte IS(home) | 0-3 | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 27, 2026 | BK Hacken(away) | 0-0 | Allsvenskan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Sirius win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 AIK Stockholm win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | AIK Stockholm 0-3 Sirius | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 31, 2025 | AIK Stockholm 2-1 Sirius | Allsvenskan |
| Jun 19, 2025 | AIK Stockholm 1-2 Sirius | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 1, 2025 | Sirius 3-1 AIK Stockholm | Allsvenskan |
| Sep 25, 2024 | Sirius 0-1 AIK Stockholm | Allsvenskan |
| May 11, 2024 | AIK Stockholm 1-3 Sirius | Allsvenskan |
Last archived meeting: AIK Stockholm vs Sirius on May 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sirius score 2.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; AIK Stockholm score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sirius | 2.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| AIK Stockholm | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sirius sit 1st in Allsvenskan (42 points from 18 matches) and AIK Stockholm sit 6th (28 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sirius | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 47 | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | AIK Stockholm | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 25 | 28 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sirius vs AIK Stockholm?
- The Footlab model makes Sirius the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for AIK Stockholm.
- Where and when is Sirius vs AIK Stockholm played?
- Sirius vs AIK Stockholm is played on October 25, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Studenternas IP, in the Allsvenskan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.