IF Elfsborg vs Malmo FF: prediction and stats
AllsvenskanRegular Season - 25Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Borås Arena, Borås
The Footlab model makes IF Elfsborg the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Malmo FF. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win IF Elfsborg vs Malmo FF?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate IF Elfsborg (1,834) and Malmo FF (1,867).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, IF Elfsborg have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Malmo FF have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | IFK Goteborg(away) | 1-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Västra Frölunda(away) | 4-0 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Vasteras SK FK(home) | 3-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mjallby AIF(away) | 1-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Malmo FF(away) | 2-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gais(away) | 1-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Degerfors IF(home) | 1-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 2, 2026 | IF Brommapojkarna(away) | 2-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 26, 2026 | IF Elfsborg(home) | 1-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 20, 2026 | Kalmar FF(away) | 2-2 | Allsvenskan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 IF Elfsborg win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Malmo FF win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Malmo FF 1-2 IF Elfsborg | Allsvenskan |
| Sep 14, 2025 | IF Elfsborg 2-2 Malmo FF | Allsvenskan |
| Apr 7, 2025 | Malmo FF 2-1 IF Elfsborg | Allsvenskan |
| Mar 10, 2025 | Malmo FF 1-0 IF Elfsborg | Svenska Cupen |
| May 28, 2024 | Malmo FF 2-1 IF Elfsborg | Allsvenskan |
| May 5, 2024 | IF Elfsborg 3-1 Malmo FF | Allsvenskan |
Last archived meeting: Malmo FF vs IF Elfsborg on Jul 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
IF Elfsborg score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Malmo FF score 1.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IF Elfsborg | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Malmo FF | 1.9 | 1.8 | 4 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
IF Elfsborg sit 4th in Allsvenskan (28 points from 18 matches) and Malmo FF sit 7th (26 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | IF Elfsborg | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 28 |
| 7 | Malmo FF | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 32 | 27 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for IF Elfsborg vs Malmo FF?
- The Footlab model makes IF Elfsborg the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Malmo FF.
- Where and when is IF Elfsborg vs Malmo FF played?
- IF Elfsborg vs Malmo FF is played on October 25, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Borås Arena, in the Allsvenskan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.