IF Elfsborg vs Malmo FF: prediction and stats
AllsvenskanRegular Season - 25Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Borås Arena, Borås
The Footlab AI model makes IF Elfsborg the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Malmo FF. The most likely score is 1-1. If IF Elfsborg wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win IF Elfsborg vs Malmo FF?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate IF Elfsborg (1,902) and Malmo FF (1,923).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for IF Elfsborg vs Malmo FF
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
IF Elfsborg
4-2-3-1- 21L. Ãstman
- 9A. Zeneli
- 19J. Beck
- 18J. Magnússon
- 29M. Kamara
- 25A. Sigurpálsson
- 23N. Hult
- 4T. Isherwood
- 16A. Jensen
- 6R. Wikström
- 31I. Pettersson
Malmo FF
4-3-3- 45A. Hoog
- 32D. Guðjohnsen
- 15M. Lahdo
- 37A. Skogmar
- 7O. Rosengren
- 28J. MilosavljeviÄ
- 25Busanello
- 17J. Stryger Larsen
- 5A. Đurić
- 44M. Pålsson
- 1R. Olsen
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:33 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, IF Elfsborg have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Malmo FF have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Halmstad(home) | 4-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Oct 2, 2026 | BK Hacken(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Djurgardens IF(away) | 2-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Kalmar FF(home) | 1-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Sep 6, 2026 | IF Brommapojkarna(away) | 1-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Kalmar FF(home) | 1-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Oct 3, 2026 | FC Nordsjaelland(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Vasteras SK FK(away) | 0-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Orgryte IS(home) | 4-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Sep 7, 2026 | AIK Stockholm(home) | 0-0 | Allsvenskan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 IF Elfsborg wins, 1 draw, 3 Malmo FF wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Malmo FF 1-2 IF Elfsborg | Allsvenskan |
| Sep 14, 2025 | IF Elfsborg 2-2 Malmo FF | Allsvenskan |
| Apr 7, 2025 | Malmo FF 2-1 IF Elfsborg | Allsvenskan |
| Mar 10, 2025 | Malmo FF 1-0 IF Elfsborg | Svenska Cupen |
| May 28, 2024 | Malmo FF 2-1 IF Elfsborg | Allsvenskan |
| May 5, 2024 | IF Elfsborg 3-1 Malmo FF | Allsvenskan |
Last archived meeting: Malmo FF vs IF Elfsborg on Jul 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
IF Elfsborg score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Malmo FF score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IF Elfsborg | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Malmo FF | 1.7 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
IF Elfsborg sit 4th in Allsvenskan (40 points from 23 matches) and Malmo FF sit 6th (36 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | IF Elfsborg | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 22 | 40 |
| 6 | Malmo FF | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 38 | 33 | 36 |
A question about IF Elfsborg vs Malmo FF?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for IF Elfsborg vs Malmo FF?
- The Footlab AI model makes IF Elfsborg the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Malmo FF.
- Where and when is IF Elfsborg vs Malmo FF played?
- IF Elfsborg vs Malmo FF is played on October 25, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Borås Arena, in the Allsvenskan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.