Gais vs IFK Goteborg: prediction and stats
AllsvenskanRegular Season - 25Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Gamla Ullevi, Göteborg
The Footlab model makes Gais the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for IFK Goteborg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gais vs IFK Goteborg?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Gais (1,856) and IFK Goteborg (1,804).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gais have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; IFK Goteborg have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hammarby FF(away) | 0-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Malmo FF(home) | 0-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Halmstad(away) | 2-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 30, 2026 | FC Nordsjaelland(away) | 0-6 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Halmstad(home) | 1-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | IF Elfsborg(home) | 1-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Degerfors IF(away) | 0-3 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Gent(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kalmar FF(home) | 3-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Gent(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Gais win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 IFK Goteborg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | IFK Goteborg 2-2 Gais | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 11, 2025 | Gais 0-1 IFK Goteborg | Allsvenskan |
| Apr 28, 2025 | IFK Goteborg 1-1 Gais | Allsvenskan |
| Sep 30, 2024 | IFK Goteborg 2-0 Gais | Allsvenskan |
| May 6, 2024 | Gais 2-1 IFK Goteborg | Allsvenskan |
| Feb 26, 2023 | Gais 2-1 IFK Goteborg | Svenska Cupen |
How many goals should we expect?
Gais score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; IFK Goteborg score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gais | 1.0 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| IFK Goteborg | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gais sit 10th in Allsvenskan (23 points from 18 matches) and IFK Goteborg sit 12th (20 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Gais | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 23 |
| 12 | IFK Goteborg | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 39 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gais vs IFK Goteborg?
- The Footlab model makes Gais the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for IFK Goteborg.
- Where and when is Gais vs IFK Goteborg played?
- Gais vs IFK Goteborg is played on October 25, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Gamla Ullevi, in the Allsvenskan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.