Kalmar FF vs Sirius: prediction and stats
AllsvenskanRegular Season - 28Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Guldfågeln Arena, Kalmar
The Footlab model makes Sirius the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Kalmar FF. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kalmar FF vs Sirius?
Sirius starts as the favourite with a 150-point Elo edge (1,940 vs 1,790).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kalmar FF have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Sirius have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vasteras SK FK(away) | 0-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Angelholms FF(away) | 7-0 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hammarby FF(home) | 0-4 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 9, 2026 | IFK Goteborg(away) | 2-3 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 1, 2026 | BK Hacken(away) | 1-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | BK Hacken(home) | 0-3 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mjallby AIF(away) | 3-4 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 10, 2026 | IF Brommapojkarna(home) | 2-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Halmstad(away) | 2-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 26, 2026 | IFK Goteborg(home) | 4-1 | Allsvenskan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Kalmar FF win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Sirius win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Sirius 3-2 Kalmar FF | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Sirius 3-1 Kalmar FF | Allsvenskan |
| Apr 8, 2024 | Kalmar FF 1-2 Sirius | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Sirius 3-0 Kalmar FF | Allsvenskan |
| May 3, 2023 | Kalmar FF 2-2 Sirius | Allsvenskan |
| Oct 24, 2022 | Sirius 0-0 Kalmar FF | Allsvenskan |
How many goals should we expect?
Kalmar FF score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Sirius score 2.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalmar FF | 1.7 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Sirius | 2.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kalmar FF sit 13th in Allsvenskan (19 points from 18 matches) and Sirius sit 1st (42 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sirius | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 47 | 26 | 42 |
| 13 | Kalmar FF | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 28 | 19 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kalmar FF vs Sirius?
- The Footlab model makes Sirius the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Kalmar FF.
- Where and when is Kalmar FF vs Sirius played?
- Kalmar FF vs Sirius is played on November 8, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Guldfågeln Arena, in the Allsvenskan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.