Mjallby AIF vs Hammarby FF: prediction and stats
AllsvenskanRegular Season - 25Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Strandvallen, Sölvesborg
The Footlab model makes Hammarby FF the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Mjallby AIF. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mjallby AIF vs Hammarby FF?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Mjallby AIF (1,914) and Hammarby FF (1,965).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mjallby AIF have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Hammarby FF have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sirius(home) | 4-3 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Slovan Bratislava(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | IF Elfsborg(home) | 0-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Slovan Bratislava(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gais(home) | 2-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kalmar FF(away) | 4-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | BK Hacken(home) | 3-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Mjallby AIF win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Hammarby FF win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2026 | Mjallby AIF 2-1 Hammarby FF | Svenska Cupen |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Hammarby FF 3-0 Mjallby AIF | Allsvenskan |
| May 22, 2025 | Hammarby FF 1-2 Mjallby AIF | Allsvenskan |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Mjallby AIF 3-1 Hammarby FF | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 28, 2024 | Hammarby FF 3-0 Mjallby AIF | Allsvenskan |
| May 15, 2024 | Mjallby AIF 3-0 Hammarby FF | Allsvenskan |
Last archived meeting: Mjallby AIF vs Hammarby FF on May 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mjallby AIF score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Hammarby FF score 1.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mjallby AIF | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Hammarby FF | 1.8 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mjallby AIF sit 11th in Allsvenskan (20 points from 16 matches) and Hammarby FF sit 2nd (36 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Hammarby FF | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 15 | 36 |
| 11 | Mjallby AIF | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mjallby AIF vs Hammarby FF?
- The Footlab model makes Hammarby FF the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Mjallby AIF.
- Where and when is Mjallby AIF vs Hammarby FF played?
- Mjallby AIF vs Hammarby FF is played on October 25, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Strandvallen, in the Allsvenskan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.