Degerfors IF vs Hammarby FF: prediction and stats
AllsvenskanRegular Season - 22Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Stora Valla, Degerfors
The Footlab model makes Hammarby FF the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Degerfors IF. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Degerfors IF vs Hammarby FF?
Hammarby FF starts as the favourite with a 220-point Elo edge (1,955 vs 1,735).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Degerfors IF have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Hammarby FF have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | IF Brommapojkarna(away) | 0-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 19, 2026 | IFK Östersund(away) | 5-1 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | IFK Goteborg(home) | 3-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Malmo FF(away) | 2-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 2, 2026 | IFK Goteborg(away) | 0-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gais(home) | 2-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kalmar FF(away) | 4-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | BK Hacken(home) | 3-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Degerfors IF win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Hammarby FF win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2026 | Hammarby FF 4-0 Degerfors IF | Allsvenskan |
| Nov 3, 2025 | Degerfors IF 1-1 Hammarby FF | Allsvenskan |
| May 26, 2025 | Hammarby FF 1-0 Degerfors IF | Allsvenskan |
| May 25, 2023 | Degerfors IF 2-2 Hammarby FF | Allsvenskan |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Hammarby FF 3-1 Degerfors IF | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 22, 2022 | Hammarby FF 5-1 Degerfors IF | Allsvenskan |
Last archived meeting: Hammarby FF vs Degerfors IF on Jul 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Degerfors IF score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hammarby FF score 1.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Degerfors IF | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Hammarby FF | 1.8 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Degerfors IF sit 14th in Allsvenskan (16 points from 17 matches) and Hammarby FF sit 2nd (33 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Hammarby FF | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 40 | 15 | 33 |
| 14 | Degerfors IF | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 27 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Degerfors IF vs Hammarby FF?
- The Footlab model makes Hammarby FF the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Degerfors IF.
- Where and when is Degerfors IF vs Hammarby FF played?
- Degerfors IF vs Hammarby FF is played on September 20, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Stora Valla, in the Allsvenskan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.