Orgryte IS vs Sirius: prediction and stats
AllsvenskanRegular Season - 22Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Gamla Ullevi, Göteborg
The Footlab model makes Sirius the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Orgryte IS. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Orgryte IS vs Sirius?
Sirius starts as the favourite with a 250-point Elo edge (1,940 vs 1,690).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Orgryte IS have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Sirius have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Halmstad(home) | 1-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 16, 2026 | IF Brommapojkarna(away) | 1-3 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 8, 2026 | AIK Stockholm(home) | 3-4 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 2, 2026 | AIK Stockholm(away) | 3-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Vasteras SK FK(away) | 0-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | BK Hacken(home) | 0-3 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mjallby AIF(away) | 3-4 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 10, 2026 | IF Brommapojkarna(home) | 2-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Halmstad(away) | 2-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 26, 2026 | IFK Goteborg(home) | 4-1 | Allsvenskan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Orgryte IS win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Sirius win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2026 | Sirius 2-0 Orgryte IS | Allsvenskan |
| Oct 17, 2016 | Sirius 4-1 Orgryte IS | Superettan |
| May 15, 2016 | Orgryte IS 1-2 Sirius | Superettan |
How many goals should we expect?
Orgryte IS score 1.2 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sirius score 2.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orgryte IS | 1.2 | 2.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Sirius | 2.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Orgryte IS sit 15th in Allsvenskan (14 points from 18 matches) and Sirius sit 1st (42 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sirius | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 47 | 26 | 42 |
| 15 | Orgryte IS | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 22 | 41 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Orgryte IS vs Sirius?
- The Footlab model makes Sirius the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Orgryte IS.
- Where and when is Orgryte IS vs Sirius played?
- Orgryte IS vs Sirius is played on September 19, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Gamla Ullevi, in the Allsvenskan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.