Match

Ska-khabarovsk vs Leningradets: prediction and stats

First LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion imeni V.I. Lenina, Khabarovsk

Ska-khabarovskLeningradets

The Footlab model makes Ska-khabarovsk the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Leningradets. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ska-khabarovsk vs Leningradets?

A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Ska-khabarovsk (1,724) and Leningradets (1,752).

Ska-khabarovsk win40 %
Draw29 %
Leningradets win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ska-khabarovsk have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Leningradets have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ska-khabarovsk
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Nizhny Novgorod(away)2-4First League
Aug 15, 2026Veles(home)2-0First League
Aug 9, 2026Spartak Kostroma(home)1-3First League
Aug 2, 2026Ural(home)0-3First League
Jul 26, 2026FC UFA(away)0-1First League
Leningradets
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Chelyabinsk(home)1-1First League
Aug 15, 2026Arsenal Tula(home)0-0First League
Aug 9, 2026Veles(away)1-2First League
Aug 1, 2026FC Sochi(home)2-1First League
Jul 26, 2026Ural(home)0-0First League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Ska-khabarovsk win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Leningradets win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 28, 2024Leningradets 0-1 Ska-khabarovskFirst League
Oct 28, 2023Ska-khabarovsk 2-1 LeningradetsFirst League

Last archived meeting: Leningradets vs Ska-khabarovsk on Apr 28, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Ska-khabarovsk score 0.9 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Leningradets score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ska-khabarovsk0.92.037/159/15
Leningradets0.91.547/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ska-khabarovsk sit 17th in First League (3 points from 7 matches) and Leningradets sit 16th (6 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
16Leningradets7133496
17Ska-khabarovsk71066153

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ska-khabarovsk vs Leningradets?
The Footlab model makes Ska-khabarovsk the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Leningradets.
Where and when is Ska-khabarovsk vs Leningradets played?
Ska-khabarovsk vs Leningradets is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion imeni V.I. Lenina, in the First League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Ska-khabarovsk and Leningradets

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