Skopje vs Shkendija: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Železarnica, Skopje
The Footlab model makes Shkendija the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Skopje. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Skopje vs Shkendija?
Shkendija is a heavy favourite: 1,826 Elo points against 1,488 — a 338-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Skopje have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Shkendija have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Tikveš(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sileks(away) | 0-3 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Struga(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Shkendija(away) | 0-3 | First League |
| May 31, 2026 | Akademija Pandev(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Struga(home) | 2-1 | First League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bregalnica Štip(home) | 4-1 | First League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Hibernian(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Vardar Skopje(away) | 2-0 | First League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Hibernian(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Skopje win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Shkendija win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Shkendija 3-0 Skopje | First League |
| Jan 25, 2024 | Shkendija 6-0 Skopje | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Skopje 0-2 Shkendija | First League |
| Oct 26, 2022 | Skopje 0-1 Shkendija | First League |
| Oct 5, 2022 | Shkendija 5-0 Skopje | Cup |
| Aug 17, 2022 | Shkendija 2-0 Skopje | First League |
How many goals should we expect?
Skopje score 1.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Shkendija score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skopje | 1.9 | 0.7 | 8 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Shkendija | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Skopje sit 9th in First League (2 points from 4 matches) and Shkendija sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shkendija | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Skopje | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Skopje vs Shkendija?
- The Footlab model makes Shkendija the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Skopje.
- Where and when is Skopje vs Shkendija played?
- Skopje vs Shkendija is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Železarnica, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.