Bashkimi Kumanovo vs Sileks: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion FK Bashkimi, Kumanovo
The Footlab model makes Sileks the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Bashkimi Kumanovo. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bashkimi Kumanovo vs Sileks?
Sileks starts as the favourite with a 208-point Elo edge (1,676 vs 1,469).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bashkimi Kumanovo have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Sileks have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Bregalnica Štip(away) | 0-3 | First League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Aresimi(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tikveš(home) | 0-5 | First League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Sileks(away) | 0-6 | First League |
| May 24, 2026 | Pelister(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Vardar Skopje(away) | 1-4 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Skopje(home) | 3-0 | First League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Shkëndija Haraçinë(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Bashkimi Kumanovo(home) | 6-0 | First League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Dinamo Minsk(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Bashkimi Kumanovo win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Sileks win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Sileks 6-0 Bashkimi Kumanovo | First League |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Sileks 1-0 Bashkimi Kumanovo | First League |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Sileks 0-0 Bashkimi Kumanovo | First League |
| Oct 21, 2025 | Bashkimi Kumanovo 1-2 Sileks | Cup |
| Sep 16, 2025 | Bashkimi Kumanovo 2-1 Sileks | First League |
| Oct 25, 2023 | Sileks 3-2 Bashkimi Kumanovo | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Sileks vs Bashkimi Kumanovo on Jul 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bashkimi Kumanovo score 0.9 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sileks score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bashkimi Kumanovo | 0.9 | 2.3 | 1 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Sileks | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bashkimi Kumanovo sit 10th in First League (0 points from 4 matches) and Sileks sit 3rd (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sileks | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 7 |
| 10 | Bashkimi Kumanovo | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bashkimi Kumanovo vs Sileks?
- The Footlab model makes Sileks the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Bashkimi Kumanovo.
- Where and when is Bashkimi Kumanovo vs Sileks played?
- Bashkimi Kumanovo vs Sileks is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion FK Bashkimi, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.