Shkëndija Haraçinë vs Struga: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Hasanbeg Arena, Skopje
The Footlab model makes Struga the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Shkëndija Haraçinë. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shkëndija Haraçinë vs Struga?
Struga starts as the favourite with a 184-point Elo edge (1,694 vs 1,510).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shkëndija Haraçinë have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Struga have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Aresimi(home) | 0-2 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tikveš(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Sileks(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pelister(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Struga(away) | 0-3 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Shkendija(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Vardar Skopje(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Skopje(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Shkëndija Haraçinë(home) | 3-0 | First League |
| May 23, 2026 | Aresimi(away) | 0-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Shkëndija Haraçinë win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Struga win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Struga 3-0 Shkëndija Haraçinë | First League |
Last archived meeting: Struga vs Shkëndija Haraçinë on Jul 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Shkëndija Haraçinë score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Struga score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shkëndija Haraçinë | 2.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Struga | 1.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shkëndija Haraçinë sit 8th in First League (4 points from 4 matches) and Struga sit 4th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Struga | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 8 | Shkëndija Haraçinë | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shkëndija Haraçinë vs Struga?
- The Footlab model makes Struga the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Shkëndija Haraçinë.
- Where and when is Shkëndija Haraçinë vs Struga played?
- Shkëndija Haraçinë vs Struga is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Hasanbeg Arena, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.