Aresimi vs Tikveš: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Igralište Golema Rečica, Tetovo
The Footlab AI model makes Tikveš the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Aresimi. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tikveš wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aresimi vs Tikveš?
Tikveš starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,661 vs 1,550).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Aresimi vs Tikveš
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Aresimi
4-3-3- 30Diego Contreras
- 7L. Kaba
- 15F. Jusufi
- 2S. Dzemaili
- 5M. Goni
- 29I. Olaosebikan
- 16M. Dardhishta
- 21A. Aliti
- 40A. Iljazi
- 3Fisnik Zuka
- 99D. Siljanovski
Tikveš
4-3-3- 11N'fanly Sylla
- 22Toheeb Lawal
- 7Lucianinho
- 15T. Nikolovski
- 23E. O. Wisdom
- 34K. Ackovski
- 6B. Ramadani
- 4I. Fall
- 21A. Varelovski
- 74Renatinho
- 1H. Stevkovski
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aresimi have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Tikveš have 7, 7 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sileks(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Mogila(away) | 12-0 | Cup |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Struga(away) | 0-6 | First League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Shkendija(home) | 2-2 | First League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Vardar Skopje(away) | 0-2 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bregalnica Štip(home) | 3-0 | First League |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Krosu Sport Bitola(away) | 13-0 | Cup |
| Oct 2, 2026 | FK Rabotnicki(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sileks(away) | 0-0 | First League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Struga(home) | 2-2 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Aresimi win, 1 draw, 3 Tikveš wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2026 | Tikveš 5-1 Aresimi | First League |
| May 3, 2026 | Tikveš 1-1 Aresimi | First League |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Aresimi 0-5 Tikveš | First League |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Tikveš 3-4 Aresimi | First League |
| Sep 20, 2023 | Aresimi 1-2 Tikveš | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Aresimi score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Tikveš score 2.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aresimi | 1.9 | 1.5 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Tikveš | 2.9 | 0.9 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aresimi sit 8th in First League (9 points from 9 matches) and Tikveš sit 4th (16 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Tikveš | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 7 | 16 |
| 8 | Aresimi | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 9 |
A question about Aresimi vs Tikveš?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aresimi vs Tikveš?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tikveš the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Aresimi.
- Where and when is Aresimi vs Tikveš played?
- Aresimi vs Tikveš is played on October 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Igralište Golema Rečica, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.